BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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South Alabama

Class: 1 Class Rank: 104 Conference: Sunbelt Record: (11-9) Overall: (18-15) Overall Strength =   27.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    20.73  97  59   ZZ 171 (  0-  2) Mobile                 -6.18 *   44.18                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L    30.69  74  80    1  49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico              3.78     -9.78                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    L    30.77  55  65    1   1 ( 26-  5) Alabama                 3.86    -13.86                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    32.16  60  64    1  52 ( 15- 16) Oklahoma                5.25     -9.25                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral W    19.43  78  67    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville             -7.48     18.48                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral L    21.49  60  62    1 154 ( 20- 11) Towson                 -5.42      3.42                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    31.85  84  70    1 240 ( 16- 17) Robert Morris           4.94      9.06                      
  8 11-30-2022 Away    L    13.69  59  84    1  28 ( 28-  3) Florida Atlantic      -13.22    -11.78                      
  9 12-04-2022 Away    L    27.59  68  76    1  71 ( 23-  8) Alabama-Birmingham      0.68     -8.68                      
 10 12-12-2022 Away    W    23.73  78  71    1 314 ( 14- 17) Alabama A&M            -3.18     10.18                      
 11 12-19-2022 Home    W    30.56  82  53   ZZ  52 (  0-  2) Spring Hill             3.65 *   25.35                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    18.98  71  66    1 243 ( 13- 18) Jacksonville St        -7.93     12.93                      
 13 12-29-2022 Away    L *   9.40  50  64    1 210 ( 17- 16) Ga Southern           -17.51      3.51                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L *   8.86  58  68    1 269 ( 10- 21) Georgia St            -18.05      8.05                      
 15 01-05-2023 Home    W *  29.89  63  45    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St             2.98     15.02                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    L *  12.14  58  64    1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St              -14.77      8.77                      
 17 01-12-2023 Home    W *  26.88  63  62    1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison          -0.03      1.03                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    L *  21.24  76  79    1 102 ( 24-  7) Louisiana              -5.67      2.67                      
 19 01-19-2023 Away    L *  26.92  72  76    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss           0.01     -4.01                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    L *  14.85  81  85 1  1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car           -12.06      8.06                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    L *  17.27  64  66    1 164 ( 19- 12) Old Dominion           -9.65      7.65                      
 22 01-28-2023 Home    W *  38.94  77  60    1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy                   12.03      4.97                      
 23 02-02-2023 Away    W *  38.64  82  62    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St            11.73      8.27                      
 24 02-04-2023 Away    W *  26.81  72  64    1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM                    -0.10      8.10                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    L *  24.69  57  61    1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy                   -2.22     -1.78                      
 26 02-11-2023 Home    W *  35.99  74  57    1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St          9.08      7.92                      
 27 02-13-2023 Home    W    21.83  77  53    1 362 (  5- 23) Hartford               -5.08 *   29.08                      
 28 02-16-2023 Home    W *  55.17  85  54    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss          28.26      2.74                      
 29 02-18-2023 Home    W *  48.06  81  45    1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM                    21.15     14.85                      
 30 02-22-2023 Away    W *  33.89  76  67    1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St                6.98      2.02                      
 31 02-24-2023 Away    L *  20.99  64  74    1 102 ( 24-  7) Louisiana              -5.92     -4.08                      
 32 03-02-2023 Neutral W *  29.37  68  61    1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St          2.46      4.54                      
 33 03-04-2023 Neutral W *  44.55  78  61    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss          17.64     -0.64                      
 34 03/05/2023 Neutral   *                   1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison                    -1.65            
      Averages              26.91  71.0 65.0

Best game:   55.17 = 31 point win over Southern Miss
Worst game:   8.86 = 10 point loss to Georgia St
Team stdev:  10.66